Evolving iGaming Markets: Alberta, France, and Finland
Executive Summary
Alberta, France, and Finland are each at pivotal junctures in transitioning their iGaming markets from monopolistic or restricted models to more open and regulated frameworks. This consolidated report provides a comprehensive analysis of these evolving landscapes, highlighting strategic opportunities and challenges for operators, suppliers, investors, and regulators:
- Alberta (Canada): Currently a government-run monopoly via PlayAlberta.ca, the province has passed Bill 48 to establish an open licensing model by early 2026. The goal is to recapture revenue lost to offshore sites (an estimated 55% of Alberta’s online play) and enhance consumer protections. Gross Gaming Revenue (GGR) in Alberta is projected to be approximately CA$450 million in 2025, with rapid growth anticipated as private operators enter and players transition into the regulated system. Key challenges will include navigating a new regulatory structure, finalising tax and advertising rules, and partnering with First Nations and land-based stakeholders in the market’s rollout.
- France: A mature online betting and poker market, France still prohibits online casino games. Nevertheless, political discourse and a 2023–24 public consultation signal potential movement toward legalising iCasino offerings to reclaim revenue from unlicensed platforms. France’s regulated online market reported €2.6 billion GGR in 2024, driven entirely by sports betting and poker. If online casinos are legalised post-2026, forecasts suggest an additional €750 million to €1.5 billion in annual GGR could be unlocked. Operators face high taxes (effective rates up to ~70% of GGR when all levies are counted) and strict advertising controls. State-backed giants FDJ and PMU dominate the status quo, meaning new entrants must be prepared for a cautious regulatory approach emphasising consumer protection.
- Finland: The government is dismantling the decades-old Veikkaus monopoly and will introduce an open licensing model by January 1, 2026 (licenses for online casino and betting active in 2027). This reform is a direct response to roughly 50% of Finnish online gambling spending occurring on offshore sites. By channelling play to licensed operators, Finland could generate €800 million–€1 billion in additional annual GGR within the first years of opening. A new supervisory authority will oversee the market, enforcing some of Europe’s strictest responsible gambling and marketing rules. International operators with Nordic experience see Finland as a high-potential market, but success will require deep localisation (Finnish-language services, local payment solutions) and compliance with rigorous RG tools.
Across all three jurisdictions, a global trend is evident: governments are moving toward transparent, open iGaming markets to protect consumers and capture tax revenue previously lost to unregulated gambling. Stakeholders who engage early—investing in compliance, responsible gaming, and local partnerships—can secure first-mover advantages. However, they must also navigate challenges such as evolving regulations, public sentiment on gambling, and competition from entrenched monopoly operators. The following sections delve into the context and specifics of each market, comparative metrics, strategic implications, and the broader regulatory trends shaping these changes.
